142nd Preakness Stakes preview, odds and predictions

WASHINGTON — If you wish to make some cash this Saturday betting on the Preakness, you’re both actually wealthy or simply dreaming when you suppose it may be carried out selecting All the time Dreaming to win the second leg of the Triple Crown.

At Four-5 odds, the Kentucky Derby winner gained’t web you a lot in any respect when you’re betting straight up. And in contrast to the Derby, the sector is lower in half, so All the time Dreaming will solely be operating in opposition to 9 different horses. Right here’s how they line up:

Can All the time Dreaming gentle up the horse-racing world and even attract mainstream sports activities followers by successful the Preakness, thus permitting the chance for a second Triple Crown winner within the final three years? Actually. He’s the horse to beat, educated by the legend Todd Pletcher, and has the main money-earning jockey aboard. He’s additionally actually solely one in every of three true pace horses within the Preakness area, together with newcomer Conquest Mo Cash, and once more, it helps that there’s much less competitors.

All that being stated, right here’s how I see the Preakness taking part in out on Saturday:

WIN: No. 5 Traditional Empire

The unique favourite within the Kentucky Derby when the preliminary dwell odds dropped, Empire completed the primary leg of the Triple Crown fourth. He was bumped early within the race, which knocked him again and took him out of place even after he broke out of the gate fairly properly.

Within the Preakness, I imagine his jockey — Julien Leparoux, who has gained seven Breeders’ Cup Races in his profession — will stalk All the time Dreaming and be proper up shut after the primary quarter mile. He’s acquired the pace to maintain tempo, and if he runs like he did within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile in November (with Leparoux aboard), he’ll win. With much less likelihood to get bumped within the smaller area and with distance not a difficulty, Empire will break the hearts of those that had been hoping to see a Triple Crown Contender.

PLACE: No. 10 Conquest Mo Cash

Proprietor Tom McKenna of Decide Lanier Racing in New Mexico determined to skip the Kentucky Derby regardless of incomes sufficient factors as Conquest Mo Cash gained his first three races at Sunland Park and completed second in his final two, the Sunland Derby and the Arkansas Derby.

It will not shock me in any respect if Conquest Mo Cash broke out of the gate and led the race for a superb portion. I don’t envision All the time Dreaming conceding the early lead nonetheless I imagine Conquest Mo Cash has the perfect early pace of the sector.

All that being stated, this decide is extra about successful some cash in an exacta relatively than predicting precisely how they’ll end. I’m nonetheless so see if he’s able to outfooting All the time Dreaming down the stretch, however at 15-1 odds, he definitely helps your probabilities of having a pleasant payday. Hit that — versus having the second favourite and favourite in your exacta — and you’ll take your important different to Ruth’s Chris as an alternative of Hardee’s.

SHOW: No. Four All the time Dreaming

As I discussed earlier than my picks, All the time Dreaming can definitely win this race. However at Four-5 odds, the place is the worth in that?

The Kentucky Derby winner had nearly as good a visit as he might have hoped for. He was on the rail chasing the horse that was going to break down, setting him up completely to gallop to victory. He scored an enormous victory successful the Florida Derby the place he was sitting in second earlier than his secure mate pale. He’s been very lucky with two excellent journeys and he might definitely have a 3rd at Pimlico.

In the event you’re doing a superfecta this weekend, embrace All the time Dreaming in there as I don’t see any likelihood of a end outdoors of High Four until there may be damage. I’d nonetheless embrace him in trifectas too when you’re OK with strolling out of Pimlico, Laurel or wherever you’re putting bets, with a modest chunk of change.

DARK HORSE: No. three Therefore

I tussled with Therefore and Cloud Computing on this spot. However I’ll take the No. three Therefore, who has higher odds and is educated by a two-time Preakness winner in Steve Asmussen (2007-Curlin, 2009-Rachel Alexandra).

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